Showing posts with label Iran. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Iran. Show all posts

Sunday, December 19, 2010

If Iran Can Cut Subsidies, So Can We

A short Associated Press article in today's Washington Post print version (more detail online) reports that Iran's government is rolling back $30 billion of subsidies for food and energy starting today:
Iran's president on Saturday announced the start of a plan to slash energy and food subsidies as part of government efforts to boost the nation's ailing economy.

In an interview with state television, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said the deep cuts to the subsidies "will start beginning Sunday" and vowed to fully cut all subsidies by the end of his term in 2013.

Economists say the unpopular plan could stoke inflation unofficially estimated to top 20 percent. The cuts also are widely seen as placing added burdens on Iranians, whose country is weighed down by international sanctions imposed on Tehran over its nuclear program.

Analysts say Iran pays about $30 billion in subsidies annually.

First, the suggestion that cuts in subsidies will lead to an increase in inflation is wrong. Inflation happens when the stock of money grows faster than the economy. Period. Food and energy prices are likely to go up, of course, but that will likely be offset by lower prices elsewhere in the economy.

Second, this was the right decision. It's painful to have life's necessities become more expensive, but subsidies and taxes obscure the true cost of the products, leading to resource misallocation and reducing economic efficiency. Although the article didn't address this, hopefully Tehran is pairing these measures with policies to increase economic freedom. An unambiguous lesson of history is that economic freedom leads to higher living standards, which makes adjusting to policy changes much easier.

Finally, America needs to cut subsidies too. The federal government spends about $30 billion a year in farm subsidies, $98 billion in food subsidies, $17 billion in various energy subsidies (as of 2007), among regulations that effectively subsidize various producers and consumers. Many would balk at eliminating these $145 billion in subsidies immediately, but phasing them out over a few years as the economy recovers is not unrealistic.

Friday, March 20, 2009

Obama's Fresh Start with Iran

I've been less than impressed with President Obama's approach to economic issues, but there may be some hope for him yet on foreign policy.

CNN reports that Obama "reached out to Iran on Friday -- the start of the Iranian New Year -- in a video message offering 'the promise of a new beginning' that is 'grounded in mutual respect.'"

Of course, no one wants Iran to possess nuclear weapons--the major recent impediment to normalizing relations--but can we live with it? Do the U.S. Army, Navy, Marine Corps, Air Force, and nuclear arsenal represent a sufficient deterrent to bad action?

And while most people don't want a nuclear Iran, we do want a peaceful and prosperous democratic republic to emerge in the heartland of the former Persian empire.

Most of that task falls to Iran's leaders, but U.S. policymakers can make a difference.

If normalizing relations reduces their fear of U.S. military action, they'll be less likely to elect hardliners and focus on other issues, the economy first among them. Robust cultural exchange can help promote understanding and economic partnerships. Reducing trade barriers (to zero?) would enhance bilateral commerce and facilitate both of our economic growth.

Obama's on right track with Iran. Let's hope he follows through.